Baby Bruce’s Beginning? Basically Barry Bonds

The similarities between Jay Bruce and Barry Bonds are quite frankly, amazing. Jay Bruce’s first four major league seasons in many ways mirror Barry Bonds’ first four major league seasons. Let’s compare…

Bruce & Bonds - First Four Seasons

Rookies at 21
Both Bruce and Bonds made their MLB debut at the age of 21, as highly touted prospects possessing all the “tools.” As 21 year old rookies, both played just over 100 games, seeing less than 500 plate appearances. Neither player posted great numbers, but both Bonds and Bruce were approximately league-average hitters. While Bonds showed more discipline at the plate, acquiring more walks and a higher OBP despite a lower average, Bruce showed more power at the age of 21.

Sophomore Separation

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Projecting 2012: Reds Rotation vs. Cardinals Rotation

Continuing with the projections for the 2012 season, today’s report looks at the starting rotations for the Reds and Cardinals. The following projections can be found at FanGraphs. I’m using Bill James’ 2012 projections for this exercise. First, the projections, then some notes:

“ACE”

Johnny Cueto

  • K/9 – 7.09; BB/9 – 2.82; ERA – 3.77; FIP – 4.02

Adam Wainwright

  • K/9 – 7.49; BB/9 – 2.28; ERA – 3.27; FIP – 3.24

Differential (ERA): 0.5, Cardinals advantage

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Projecting 2012: Reds Offense vs. Cardinals Offense

As we anxiously await the start of the 2012 baseball season, I thought it would be fun to compare the current Reds roster to that of the St. Louis Cardinals. Today, we’ll look at offense only. The following projections can be found at FanGraphs. I’m using Bill James’ 2012 projections for this exercise. First, let’s look at how the two teams match up by position…

Second Base

Brandon Phillips (2B)

  • BILL JAMES: AVG/OBP/SLG – .279/.334/.435; wOBA – .332

Skip Schumaker (2B)

  • BILL JAMES: AVG/OBP/SLG – .282/.340/.363; wOBA – .309

Differential (wOBA): +23 Reds Read the full post »

Welcoming Worship

Me, at Great American Ballpark, with Reds’ legend Eric Davis (circa 2009)

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